NFL Week 8 Elimination Pool Pick

Ok, the model says to go with the Chiefs at home against the Bills this week. However, I am personally not going to listen to my model this week and I'm going with the Jets instead. My model was going to save the Jets for week 17. But with the best teams resting players in week 17, I don't think it's worth saving one of the few best teams till then. Also, the Jets are coming off a bye week and the best teams tend to win coming off bye weeks. The winless Bills are really due for a win following their OT loss to the Ravens last week. So, in summary, my week 8 pick is the Jets.

NFL Elimination Pool - Week 7 Pick

6 Weeks down and 11 to go! As a reminder, I have already used (team's ESPN power ranking shown in parantheses):

Week 1 - Bears (12)
Week 2 - Packers (15)
Week 3 - Patriots (3)
Week 4 - Falcons (7)
Week 5 - Colts (5)
Week 6 - Steelers (1)

So I still have some good team's left (Notably Jets, Ravens, and Saints). This week there are two potential blowouts on the schedule for me to choose from: Bills at Ravens is the worst team playing the 4th best team and Browns and Saints is the 3rd worst at the 6th best team. The Saints I want to save for week 11 when they have the largest projected blowout on the calendar of the teams I still have available. So, I'm going with the Ravens this week as this is their easiest game left on the 2010 schedule and no other future weeks when they would present the best choice as well.

NFL Elimination Pool - Week 6 Pick

Week 6 is an easy decision for my model. We're going with the Steelers (ESPN's #1 power ranked team) is facing the lowly Browns at home. The only other option I'd even consider is the Giants to defeat the Lions at home. However, the spread between the Steelers and Browns is wider by 15 ranks. By the way, if I still had the Bears available, I would use them over the Giants (but not over the Steelers).

2010 NFL Elimination Pool - Week 5 pick

4 correct picks down, only 13 to go! In week 5 I'm going with the Colts to defeat the undefeated Chiefs this week. The Colts have the largest projected margin of victory of all favorites across all Las Vegas lines this week. I also considered the Ravens to defeat the Broncos at home this week, but I want to save the Ravens for week 7 when they have the Bills at home, and the Bills are even worse than the Broncos. Plus, as I mentioned earlier, according to the Vegas moneylines, the Colts are more likely to win than the Ravens this week.